| Option players continue to show skepticism, which is a positive for the bullish case, but the important Investors Intelligence survey sounded a cautionary note today when bulls climbed above the important 55% level, and bears below the important 25% level, signs of too much bullish sentiment out there. It appears to us that the only thing supporting this market are all the puts below it. If equity option traders begin to buy the dips, we could be in for a strong correction. The S&P (first chart below) continues to "wedge out" at the critical 940 resistance level. Support is 925, 923, 918 and 910. The Nasdaq (second chart) is threatening to turn down from an overbought condition. Support is 1500, 1485, 1467 and 1435-1442. Resistance is 1525-1530. The Dow (third chart) once again held the critical 8522-8530 support level today. 8400 is the next strong support level below that, and 8650 is resistance. The Transports (fourth chart) are finally showing some signs of turning down, and the 10-year treasury yield (fifth chart) appears headed for at least 35. Finally, a long-term look at the Investors Intelligence survey (sixth chart), courtesy of Decision Point: notice the shift in sentiment in 1995 that continues at present. Before 1995, 55% bears were more common than 55% bulls. There hasn't been a single reading close to 55% bears since then, while we've had 13 (now 14) or so periods of 55% or greater bulls. That suggests that we have yet to correct the sentiment of the mid-late 1990s, despite the longest bear market since 1937-1942. Zacks Names Its $100000 Champion | Reuters:: Jan 10, 2008 "Basically, I approach the equity market via a growth-and-value gateway, employing fundamental, sentiment and technical analysis as I seek http://www.reuters.com/article/pressRelease/idUS200919+10-Jan-2008+BW20080110HOME |
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FinancialContent.com - Stock Quotes and Business News:: The battle continues in the garbage business, a solar firm goes on the block, Swing Trading, Technical Analysis, Daily Stock Market Commentary. http://investor.news.com/Engine?Account=cnet&Page=QUOTE&Ticker=WINDHOME | Today's FX market looks like this by John Patrick Lee:: Feb 24, 2006 Rising to a 14-year high, German business sentiment increased in the as the region continues to battle with record inflation and head http://www.tradingmarkets.com/.site/forex/commentary/forextacta/02242006-49654.cfmHOME | MarketMonograph - Technical Analysis and Market Commentary by Fred :: An open exchange of ideas on technical analysis and the markets between Fred heat of battle and find that it continues to go against you until losses http://www.trendmicrolytics.com/a/goodman/letters/default.aspHOME | The 52 Week High Page: Articles, stock symbols, strategies to beat :: Just as companies and stocks have to battle it out in the market place as This author got started from reading the magazine 'Technical Analysis of http://smcintire.com/HOME |
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