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Molecular detection and typing of influenza viruses: Are we ready for an influenza pandemic?

Published by: webmaster 2009-01-07

  • Molecular detection and typing of influenza viruses: Are we ready for an influenza pandemic?

    Mackay WG (http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/sites/entrez?Db=pubmed&Cmd=Search&Term=%22Mackay%20WG%22%5BAuthor%5D&itool=EntrezSystem2.PEntrez.Pubmed.Pubmed_ResultsP anel.Pubmed_DiscoveryPanel.Pubmed_RVAbstractPlus), van Loon AM (http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/sites/entrez?Db=pubmed&Cmd=Search&Term=%22van%20Loon%20AM%22%5BAuthor%5D&itool=EntrezSystem2.PEntrez.Pubmed.Pubmed_ResultsP anel.Pubmed_DiscoveryPanel.Pubmed_RVAbstractPlus), Niedrig M (http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/sites/entrez?Db=pubmed&Cmd=Search&Term=%22Niedrig%20M%22%5BAuthor%5D&itool=EntrezSystem2.PEntrez.Pubmed.Pubmed_ResultsP anel.Pubmed_DiscoveryPanel.Pubmed_RVAbstractPlus), Meijer A (http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/sites/entrez?Db=pubmed&Cmd=Search&Term=%22Meijer%20A%22%5BAuthor%5D&itool=EntrezSystem2.PEntrez.Pubmed.Pubmed_ResultsP anel.Pubmed_DiscoveryPanel.Pubmed_RVAbstractPlus), Lina B (http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/sites/entrez?Db=pubmed&Cmd=Search&Term=%22Lina%20B%22%5BAuthor%5D&itool=EntrezSystem2.PEntrez.Pubmed.Pubmed_ResultsP anel.Pubmed_DiscoveryPanel.Pubmed_RVAbstractPlus), Niesters HG (http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/sites/entrez?Db=pubmed&Cmd=Search&Term=%22Niesters%20HG%22%5BAuthor%5D&itool=EntrezSystem2.PEntrez.Pubmed.Pubmed_ResultsP anel.Pubmed_DiscoveryPanel.Pubmed_RVAbstractPlus).
    The Neutral Office, Quality Control for Molecular Diagnostics (QCMD), Block 4, Kelvin Campus, West of Scotland Science Park, Glasgow G20 0SP, Scotland, UK.

    BACKGROUND: We cannot predict when an influenza pandemic will occur or which variant of the virus will cause it. Little information is currently available on the ability of laboratories to detect and subtype influenza viruses including the avian influenza viruses.

    OBJECTIVES: To assess the ability of laboratories to detect and subtype influenza viruses.

    STUDY DESIGN: In 2006 QCMD distributed an External Quality Assessment panel for the molecular detection and haemagglutinin subtyping of influenza viruses to 87 laboratories in 34 countries Worldwide, which were given 6 weeks to return results. These data were analysed to assess laboratory performance.
    Avian Flu - Is Specialization Killing Us? - Health Supreme::
    Are we ready? By W. Wayt Gibbs and Christine Soares An influenza pandemic, by definition, occurs only when the influenza virus
    http://www.newmediaexplorer.org/sepp/2005/10/28/avian_flu_ialization_killing_us.htm
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    RESULTS: Influenza virus positive panel samples were correctly identified by 35-98% of laboratories. The correct haemagglutinin subtype was reported by 32-87% of laboratories that detected the virus: incorrect subtyping results included the reporting of avian influenza viruses as human strains and vice versa. Twelve laboratories reported false positives with some avian influenza viruses reported. CONCLUSIONS: These data suggest that improvements are needed in the molecular detection of influenza viruses and influenza virus A haemagglutinin subtyping. Only rapid and accurate identification of circulating pandemic influenza virus will ensure that the maximum time is available for intervention.
    Influenza Report 2006 | Overview; 32 pages, 153 references::
    To become a pandemic strain, an influenza virus must comply with a The Threat of Pandemic Influenza: Are We Ready? The National Academies Press 2004.
    http://www.influenzareport.com/ir/overview.htm
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    Insights into the Interaction between Influenza Virus and Pneumococcus ::
    Molecular pathogenesis of influenza A virus infection and virus-induced Are we ready for pandemic influenza? Science 302:1519-1522.[Abstract/Free Full Text]
    http://cmr.asm.org/cgi/content/full/19/3/571
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    http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/18359662?ordinalpos=2&itool=EntrezSystem2.PEntrez.Pubmed.Pubmed_ResultsP anel.Pubmed_RVDocSum


  • The operative phrase, "distributed an External Quality Assessment panel " and the word "samples" suggests that each lab was sent a variety of samples to assess for subtype.

    Thus, a range of results is reported for labs that cooperated in this quality assurance study, not a single figure.

    I presume that intact virus was supplied within panels sent to labs enrolled in the study, as some subtyping assays require viral culture.


  • readiness comes in degrees. We're 40% ready, IMO.
    In average. Some are readier than others.


  • did they send whole avian flu virus ? :D


  • conclusion : we are not ready


  • > Influenza virus positive panel samples were correctly identified
    > by 35-98% of laboratories

    how can this be interpreted ?
    they somehow subdivided the task indo groups and
    in some group 35% were correct, in some other group 98% ?

    This looks to me like some deliberate attempt to
    make the data less useful.
    (so people would buy the paper)


  • but they write:

    > Influenza virus positive panel samples were correctly identified
    > by 35-98% of laboratories

    not :

    >> 35%-98% of positive samples were correctly identified by the laboratories


    ahh, well. I assume now, that they divided each sample into several
    parts and sent one part of it to each lab.
    Then they counted the percentage of labs, who identified that sample.
    Some sample was identified by 35% of labs, some others by 98% of labs.





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